Tuesday, July 7, 2009

PROFILING: STATISTICAL ANALYSES

Our Maricopa sheriff could learn from a math professor at the Univ. of Texas who mathematically proves that choosing people to screen based on ethnicity is no more effective than random checks. [Scientific American, April 2009] Because those who are legal vastly outnumber those who are illegal, the optimal way to screen would be to use the “square-root-biased sampling.” That is because a legal Latino would be screened many times before an illegal would be found. Therefore, because it has been proved mathematically and because it would be more cost effective, Dr. William Press states, the sensible method is not to profile at all. See his study in the February 10, 2009 Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA.

Source: FS, The Independent Voice

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